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      Fasten your seatbelts as gold, silver, and copper are set to soar!

      Gold is a unique asset that embodies characteristics of both commodities and currencies while also serving as an investment asset. Mined like any other commodity, it holds intrinsic value and is sought after during financial uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, making it a form of anti-fiat currency. Its enduring appeal as a store of value spans

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      A Tale of Changing Policies: From Hike to Pause to Cuts and Impact on Currencies!

      n 2022, chatters buzzed intensely over which central bank would be the first to raise interest rates. The following year, 2023, saw a shift in discourse, with speculation centering on which Central bank might be the first to hit the pause button. However, transiting to 2024, the talk of the town is who will cut…

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      A tale from inflation to disinflation- dominating the currency dynamics!

      It’s all about inflation everywhere and from the race to inflation to race to deflation amongst various countries, it has contributed heavily to shaping the currency dynamics. To understand inflationary/deflationary trends, it’s important to understand the historical causes of inflation, its components, and the measures taken. Factors contributing to inflation: In 1975, inflation in the US was fueled by

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      Where will the money flow in 2024? Equity, Gold, or Bonds?

      By Amit Pabari Reflecting on the year 2023, global equity markets experienced significant success, demonstrating impressive performance. Similarly, commodities, including gold and various others, also witnessed robust returns. As we anticipate 2024, characterized by potential challenges for equity returns, gold and bond is foreseen to continue its ascent, maintaining its upward trajectory in the coming

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      New Year, New Rhythms: The rupee’s destiny to 82.50 amid RBI’s tactical moves and liquidity challenges

      After a steadfast three-month span with a narrow range of approximately 40 paise, the Rupee last month surpassed the 83 level, a level last touched in August. Despite an inability to sustain near 82.90, the Rupee experienced heightened volatility, a result of the RBI deliberately permitting a deviation from the established range. As there was a dollar and Rupee liquidity

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      Economic Times- Is the December policy setting the stage for the roadmap ahead in 2024?

      In 2023, central banks slowed their rate hike momentum due to declining inflationary pressures. Despite a gradual easing in core inflation, five major central banks collectively implemented eight 25-basis-point rate hikes and four 50-basis-point rate hikes in the first half of the year. However, the pace slowed in the second half, with only four 25-basis-point

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      Changing dynamics – The fate of currencies in the hands of macros and Geo-politics!

      By Amit Pabari Market sentiment turned fragile following clashes between Israeli forces and Hamas over the past few days and the complex dynamics of risk aversion are expected to play out in the currency space with DXY remaining uplifted being the rise in overall safe haven demand. However, as long as the conflict remains contained

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      The unseen bull run is brewing in lull – Gold set for $2300?

      Agriculture remains a key driver of gold demand in India, and Rural India, where approximately 65% of the population resides is heavily dependent on agriculture. By Amit Pabari One might think that the past year has been dull for the gold bulls as post touching its all-time high of $2070/oz in March 2022, the Gold

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      US Dollar index at crossroads: Will it ascend to 105 or descend to 100?

      Experience suggests that things go wrong when it is least expected. Remember Murphy’s Law. It was least expected that the US Dollar index would give a breakdown on the chart below strong support of 100.50. And onto it, it was again least expected that the breakdown will be a false one. As the pair bottomed

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      Rupee’s downturn: A result of persistent global risk aversion or just a false alarm?

      By Amit Pabari Amid the rise in global risk aversion, the Rupee experienced a wild swing from Rs 81.70 to Rs 82.70 within weeks’ time due to the increase. Well, sudden depreciation in the local currency would have kept markets wondering if it is temporary or not. Well before that, let’s understand what led to

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