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      Is US yield curve directing outlook on dollar index, euro and pound?

      There are basically two types of investment in the world. One is the Riskier investment- ‘Equities’ and the other one is Non-Riskier. Or we can say asset class which provides fixed income in the form of coupons. This includes- short-term ‘note’ or long-term ‘bond’. In the case of rising inflationary environment where central bank is

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      History in the making- Dollar index at 100!

      Greenback, or US dollar, was first created to finance the American civil war and were called as such because their backs were printed in green. In the modern world, where the US dollar trades as a safe-haven currency, there were days in the mid-1800s when Continental Congress did not have taxing authority and the “greenback”

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      Is trade deficit a burning problem for India?

      Generally, a trade deficit occurs when a nation imports more goods than it exports. In classic economic theory, countries with a trade deficit will see their currency weaken, whilst those with a trade surplus will see their currency strengthen. India has been recording sustained trade deficits since 1980 mainly due to the strong imports, particularly

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      Will Indian exporters continue to benefit from rupee’s lifetime low versus yuan?

      ‘Jo Sochte hai wo hota nahi aur jo hota hai uspar hum sochte nahi’. During a time of weakening fundamentals or crisis, obviously, that country’s currency weakens against dollar and during an optimistic local environment, that country’s currency appreciates against the dollar. But that doesn’t seem true in the current case of China and India.

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      Will rupee test 75.50 levels against dollar?

      The calendar year-2021 has been very interesting for the rupee. If we observe the monthly performance, ignoring the July month, the local currency remained on a ‘Positive’ and ‘Negative’ note on an alternate basis. It means that during Jan, Mar, May, and Aug month- Rupee appreciated. While during Feb, April, June, (exceptional July), and Sept

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      Crude at $100, gas and coal at multi-decade high; a myth or reality soon?

      Post reboot your computer, you must have observed that your computer works much faster than before, at least for initial hours. The same logic can be applied in the financial and economic world. After the pandemic, the world had nothing but clicked on the Reboot option and now everything seems to get back on track

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      Will twin storm of higher rates and sluggish demand weigh down on gold?

      Is Gold a commodity, currency, or investment asset? Gold is the only thing on the earth that holds all these three properties. It is mined, just like any other commodity. It is an anti-fiat currency but has purchasing power during financial turmoil and geopolitical tensions and it also holds a tangible asset quality. In the modern world, the prices are derived based upon the risk-on/risk-off sentiment more rather than actual commodity usage.

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      Has ‘Reopening’, ‘Brexit’ and ‘Tapering’ closed the doors for recovery in pound?

      After topping out near 1.40 levels in last week of June, the GBPUSD pair managed to continue its bearish movement to test our short term target of 1.3680, as suggested in our report dated June 22, 2021.

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      ECB set to follow divergence, Fed on course of unwinding

      ECB has accepted that hotter inflation doesn’t match with their previous formulation of "below but close to 2 percent target" while discussing during ‘Special Strategic Thursday meet’ held on July 8 and hence has set a new inflation formula- “target at 2 percent in the medium term”.

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      View: US 10-year yield sets higher ‘goal’, but it will be ‘penalty’ for EM FX

      Overall, we are expecting that 2013-taper story to repeat in 2021, with higher chances of the announcement in August Jackson Hole or in December FOMC monetary policy. Thus, hold your heart to watch the 10-year yield back above 1.75 percent and 2.20 percent over the short term and 3.00 percent over the medium term.

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