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      View: Rupee may remain sideways for the next 2 months

      Amid a bunch of economic events, volatility was supposed to remain elevated this month. The rupee has been hovering around the 78 mark against the US dollar — not far from its all-time low. Fed and RBI policies The rupee finally got out of its overly stretched range of 77.40-77.80 against the greenback, depreciating towards

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      View: After hitting record lows, rupee may depreciate further

      Since the RBI’s surprise rate hike by 40 basis points (bps), the rupee was seen tumbling against the US dollar. As rupee closes at record low, experts warn fast pace of depreciation will impact inflation Here’s why more pain may be on the cards for the rupee against the greenback over the short term. Stronger dollar and

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      View: It may be a while before dollar index returns to double digits

      The US dollar index is expected to reflect the Fed’s hawkish tone to tackle high inflation over the short and medium terms. The risk-off sentiment, triggered by the Russia-Ukraine crisis, is an add-on to the ongoing rally in the gauge. The dollar index has reached triple digits as expected just before the start of tapering

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      View: Expect rupee to slide to 78.50 vs dollar in medium term

      From the start of the pandemic, labour shortages, container issues and rising freight charges were already making raw material costlier. This started to reflect in inflation readings. A new crisis entered the scene in late February 2022: the Russia-Ukraine war. Will supply concerns cause a big blow to India? In the energy pack, Russia accounts

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      View: Russia-Ukraine war can cause more pain to euro, pound

      Despite measures taken by US, the UK, the EU, Japan, Taiwan, Australia and New Zealand against Russia, Moscow continued to invade Ukrainian cities. The United States’ move to ban imports of oil and other energy products from Russia sent crude oil surging to close to $140 a barrel — the highest since the Global Financial

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      View: Rupee likely to move to 76.30 vs US dollar in near term

      As the economist John Maynard Keynes has said: “The markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” The rupee got direction after the RBI policy review, having traded near the 74.50-74.70 zone ahead of the event. US CPI data proved to be a game-changer for major markets as well as the rupee. Momentum picked

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      View: What the latest FOMC meet could mean for the rupee

      The result of the most awaited event of this month — the Fed’s scheduled policy meeting — is here with us. There was clearly no surprise for the market. As widely expected, the US central bank kept interest rates unchanged at a record low of the 0-0.25 percent range. But its tone remained hawkish and

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      View: More depreciation on cards for rupee in 2022

      Emerging market currencies have been riding on the back of liquidity. In 2020 and 2021, when major central bankers were pushing liquidity in the markets, emerging market currencies were seen appreciating or recovering from the lows. However, in 2022, these currencies could end up showing signs of tiredness. The Federal Bank plans to tighten its

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      Rewinding a 2021 cassette and making a reel for 2022

      What a fantastic, fabulous and phenomenal year it was. On the positive side, the world got their vaccine to fight against COVID, but Delta and Omicron came with the complement. In the Financial market, on one side, we saw the US government crediting a direct amount to the US citizens, but at the cost of

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      View | Will underperformance of Euro and Pound continue in 2022?

      Each coin has two sides and only time can tell which side will fall on top and which will remain hidden. In 2021, the market flipped a coin and the result was ‘heads’ in favour of the USD, and ‘tails’ in favour of the euro and the pound. Moving forward, the question remains will both

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